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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.73vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.04+0.57vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+2.88vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.02+0.52vs Predicted
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5Washington University-0.80+1.38vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.42+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.74+1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.11-0.90vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.18-1.77vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.03-5.35vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-1.18-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Wisconsin0.3617.2%1st Place
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2.57Purdue University1.0433.1%1st Place
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5.88Michigan State University-0.606.9%1st Place
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4.52Northwestern University-0.0212.1%1st Place
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6.38Washington University-0.805.8%1st Place
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7.99Northwestern University-1.421.8%1st Place
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8.63University of Illinois-1.741.8%1st Place
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7.1University of Notre Dame-1.113.9%1st Place
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7.23Unknown School-1.183.6%1st Place
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4.65University of Saint Thomas-0.0311.0%1st Place
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7.31Indiana University-1.183.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annabel Bridges | 17.2% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Justin Skene | 33.1% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Crannell | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Cole Abbott | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Austin Porras | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 20.9% |
| Ivan Shilov | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 33.6% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Ian Knox | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.