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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.04+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+1.74vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.80+3.30vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.42+3.93vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.11+2.20vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.18+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.74+1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.03-3.36vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.60-3.11vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.02-5.43vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-1.18-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Purdue University1.0434.5%1st Place
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3.74University of Wisconsin0.3616.7%1st Place
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6.3Washington University-0.806.2%1st Place
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7.93Northwestern University-1.422.5%1st Place
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7.2University of Notre Dame-1.114.2%1st Place
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7.38Unknown School-1.182.7%1st Place
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8.52University of Illinois-1.741.9%1st Place
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4.64University of Saint Thomas-0.0310.5%1st Place
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5.89Michigan State University-0.606.3%1st Place
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4.57Northwestern University-0.0210.5%1st Place
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7.25Indiana University-1.184.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 34.5% | 23.9% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 16.7% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Austin Porras | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.2% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| Ivan Shilov | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 32.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Kate Crannell | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ian Knox | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.