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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.04+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+1.35vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.02+1.12vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-1.18+2.66vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.60+0.35vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.80-0.22vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.09-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.11-1.51vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.18-2.43vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.74-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Purdue University1.0435.5%1st Place
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3.35University of Wisconsin0.3618.7%1st Place
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4.12Northwestern University-0.0213.4%1st Place
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6.66Unknown School-1.183.7%1st Place
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5.35Michigan State University-0.607.6%1st Place
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5.78Washington University-0.805.8%1st Place
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6.52Northwestern University-1.094.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Notre Dame-1.114.0%1st Place
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6.57Indiana University-1.184.7%1st Place
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7.78University of Illinois-1.742.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Justin Skene | 35.5% | 25.8% | 18.8% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Annabel Bridges | 18.7% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Cole Abbott | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Gavin Lamphier | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% |
Kate Crannell | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
Jacob Hsia | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
Millie Rose Taub | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% |
Cecilia Patrick | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
Ian Knox | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
Ivan Shilov | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.