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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.39vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.04+0.28vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.80+2.80vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-1.18+2.69vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.60+0.40vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.11-0.48vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.02-3.83vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.09-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.74-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Wisconsin0.3617.6%1st Place
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2.28Purdue University1.0438.1%1st Place
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5.8Washington University-0.805.2%1st Place
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6.69Unknown School-1.183.5%1st Place
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5.4Michigan State University-0.606.8%1st Place
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6.54Indiana University-1.184.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Notre Dame-1.113.6%1st Place
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4.17Northwestern University-0.0214.0%1st Place
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6.41Northwestern University-1.094.2%1st Place
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7.81University of Illinois-1.742.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annabel Bridges | 17.6% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Justin Skene | 38.1% | 27.5% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jacob Hsia | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
Gavin Lamphier | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% |
Kate Crannell | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
Ian Knox | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
Cecilia Patrick | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.5% |
Cole Abbott | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Millie Rose Taub | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% |
Ivan Shilov | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.