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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+2.25vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.80vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73-1.24vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-0.44vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.10-1.86vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58The Citadel1.2229.5%1st Place
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4.25University of North Carolina-0.249.2%1st Place
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4.8Embry-Riddle University-0.526.9%1st Place
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2.76Clemson University0.7326.9%1st Place
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4.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.389.0%1st Place
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4.14North Carolina State University-0.1011.8%1st Place
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4.9The Citadel-0.756.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 29.5% | 25.1% | 20.7% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.2% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 24.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 26.9% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Polk Baggett | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 19.6% |
| Will Finch | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.