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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University2.00+0.54vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University1.15+0.09vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.51+0.89vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.68+1.12vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.05-0.51vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.53-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Ohio State University2.0058.1%1st Place
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2.09Ohio State University1.1528.9%1st Place
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3.89Purdue University-0.515.1%1st Place
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5.12Michigan State University-1.681.1%1st Place
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4.49Ohio State University-1.052.2%1st Place
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3.87Ohio State University-0.534.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Becker | 58.1% | 32.1% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 28.9% | 43.0% | 20.2% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 5.1% | 8.6% | 23.8% | 29.0% | 21.8% | 11.8% |
| George Prokop | 1.1% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 54.8% |
| Alexa Hind | 2.2% | 5.0% | 14.1% | 22.4% | 32.5% | 23.8% |
| Michael Mignogna | 4.6% | 7.8% | 26.2% | 28.1% | 23.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.