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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University-0.52+3.80vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.10+2.13vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73-0.21vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22-1.50vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.24-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Embry-Riddle University-0.527.2%1st Place
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4.13North Carolina State University-0.1011.8%1st Place
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2.79Clemson University0.7324.6%1st Place
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2.5The Citadel1.2231.9%1st Place
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4.96The Citadel-0.755.5%1st Place
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4.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.389.2%1st Place
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4.35University of North Carolina-0.249.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 24.8% |
| Will Finch | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 11.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 24.6% | 25.3% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 31.9% | 24.9% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 26.7% |
| Polk Baggett | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.