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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+3.46vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.79vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.22-0.51vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.10+0.15vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24-1.70vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.389.8%1st Place
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2.79Clemson University0.7325.6%1st Place
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2.49The Citadel1.2231.0%1st Place
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4.15North Carolina State University-0.1011.0%1st Place
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4.84Embry-Riddle University-0.526.6%1st Place
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4.3University of North Carolina-0.249.8%1st Place
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4.96The Citadel-0.756.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polk Baggett | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 25.6% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 31.0% | 26.5% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Will Finch | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 12.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 25.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.