Race 12A

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 12.1% 12.4% 12.5% 12.1% 10.3% 11.6% 9.8% 7.3% 5.7% 2.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 13.1% 13.3% 14.7% 11.5% 11.8% 10.6% 7.8% 7.1% 5.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 19.8% 17.8% 15.8% 13.9% 11.7% 7.8% 5.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 5.8% 5.6% 5.9% 9.3% 7.8% 9.9% 9.4% 10.3% 11.1% 9.8% 9.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 16.7% 17.8% 14.2% 13.3% 10.9% 9.4% 6.3% 5.1% 3.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Throop 7.7% 7.8% 9.4% 9.2% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 9.2% 9.2% 7.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
John Shanahan 5.6% 3.7% 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.8% 7.5% 10.3% 11.4% 12.5% 13.5% 7.8% 2.3% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 6.4% 7.1% 6.3% 7.7% 8.3% 8.2% 11.8% 10.7% 10.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Gene Merewether 4.4% 5.7% 5.5% 5.7% 7.3% 7.1% 11.0% 11.2% 10.3% 12.9% 10.6% 6.3% 2.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 4.6% 7.7% 7.4% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 11.4% 12.2% 7.5% 3.6% 0.0%
James Haley III 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 3.7% 5.9% 7.3% 10.0% 27.7% 34.9% 0.0%
Dylan Russell 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 1.7% 2.5% 4.7% 5.3% 9.0% 21.9% 47.7% 0.0%
Chantal Hearst 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 4.1% 5.7% 7.2% 8.2% 9.0% 12.5% 17.1% 17.5% 6.9% 0.0%
James Haley III 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 3.7% 5.9% 7.3% 10.0% 27.7% 34.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.