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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+1.73vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+1.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.10+0.21vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75-0.07vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.24-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Clemson University0.7326.8%1st Place
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2.56The Citadel1.2229.9%1st Place
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4.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.389.2%1st Place
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4.21North Carolina State University-0.1010.7%1st Place
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4.93The Citadel-0.756.3%1st Place
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4.84Embry-Riddle University-0.527.0%1st Place
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4.25University of North Carolina-0.2410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 26.8% | 24.4% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 29.9% | 25.9% | 19.6% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Polk Baggett | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 17.6% |
| Will Finch | 10.7% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 13.5% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 27.3% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 26.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.