Race 14A

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Bates 21.0% 19.5% 16.2% 12.1% 11.4% 6.9% 5.8% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 13.7% 14.9% 14.0% 12.4% 11.9% 9.8% 7.1% 7.2% 4.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 4.4% 5.9% 8.6% 7.7% 9.1% 8.9% 9.4% 10.8% 11.9% 9.8% 8.5% 3.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Matthew Sullivan 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 9.2% 9.5% 9.5% 10.2% 9.7% 10.3% 8.9% 8.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Gene Merewether 5.9% 6.2% 5.1% 7.4% 7.6% 8.4% 9.2% 9.8% 11.4% 10.8% 10.7% 6.1% 1.4% 0.0%
John Shanahan 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 8.4% 8.4% 9.3% 11.8% 12.6% 11.8% 8.4% 2.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 14.3% 14.2% 11.8% 12.2% 11.4% 10.6% 8.9% 6.8% 5.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 6.3% 7.1% 7.2% 8.3% 7.7% 9.3% 11.1% 10.6% 10.3% 10.4% 7.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.4% 5.8% 5.0% 5.1% 5.8% 8.4% 8.4% 11.5% 10.3% 12.0% 12.6% 7.9% 2.8% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 14.6% 11.0% 14.2% 12.0% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 6.4% 5.0% 3.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Chantal Hearst 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 7.6% 7.7% 10.2% 13.8% 15.5% 14.1% 5.4% 0.0%
James Haley III 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.5% 4.1% 4.2% 6.0% 8.5% 27.4% 39.8% 0.0%
James Haley III 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.5% 4.1% 4.2% 6.0% 8.5% 27.4% 39.8% 0.0%
Dylan Russell 0.8% 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 7.1% 10.2% 24.0% 45.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.