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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+1.53vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.24+1.20vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.75+0.94vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.22vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.10-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53The Citadel1.2231.2%1st Place
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2.86Clemson University0.7324.4%1st Place
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4.2University of North Carolina-0.2411.1%1st Place
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4.94The Citadel-0.758.2%1st Place
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4.78Embry-Riddle University-0.527.2%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University-0.1010.1%1st Place
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4.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.387.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 31.2% | 26.1% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 24.4% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 13.4% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 27.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 24.1% |
| Will Finch | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 11.9% |
| Polk Baggett | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.