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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel-0.41+2.25vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.36+0.27vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23-0.57vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.77-0.22vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.52-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.40-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25The Citadel-0.4115.2%1st Place
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2.27The Citadel0.3633.9%1st Place
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2.43Clemson University0.2329.3%1st Place
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3.78North Carolina State University-0.7710.5%1st Place
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4.68Embry-Riddle University-1.525.5%1st Place
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4.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.405.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Parker | 15.2% | 18.4% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 7.0% |
| Noah Frank | 33.9% | 28.8% | 20.3% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Rowan Barnes | 29.3% | 28.0% | 22.1% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Jake Montjoy | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 14.3% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 23.6% | 40.8% |
| Zach Lewis | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 26.8% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.