Race 1B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 15.8% 17.4% 19.7% 15.2% 13.2% 8.4% 5.4% 2.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 41.4% 28.4% 13.9% 8.1% 4.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.2% 6.0% 8.6% 11.0% 12.0% 12.4% 12.0% 12.0% 9.5% 7.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 5.3% 7.8% 8.0% 13.2% 11.5% 12.8% 11.5% 12.8% 8.2% 4.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 11.2% 13.5% 14.7% 13.4% 13.4% 13.7% 9.2% 5.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.5% 12.9% 15.8% 13.9% 14.5% 10.9% 9.6% 5.2% 3.3% 2.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrija Navarro 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.5% 6.1% 6.0% 7.5% 9.7% 13.3% 12.1% 14.4% 12.5% 5.2% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.8% 9.6% 10.1% 17.9% 40.9% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 2.9% 4.9% 4.9% 7.9% 9.2% 10.5% 13.3% 13.9% 15.2% 10.4% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 2.4% 3.3% 3.6% 5.2% 4.3% 7.6% 11.4% 13.0% 11.3% 12.1% 11.1% 9.3% 5.4% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.6% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 11.3% 14.6% 11.7% 11.1% 9.3% 4.1% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.6% 5.4% 6.6% 8.4% 12.4% 16.3% 16.6% 20.1% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 5.1% 6.9% 8.9% 9.5% 13.0% 15.5% 16.4% 13.4% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.8% 9.6% 10.1% 17.9% 40.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.