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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.36+1.25vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.23+0.53vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.41+0.27vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.77-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.40-0.43vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.52-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25The Citadel0.3636.0%1st Place
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2.53Clemson University0.2326.2%1st Place
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3.27The Citadel-0.4115.3%1st Place
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3.73North Carolina State University-0.7711.3%1st Place
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4.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.405.3%1st Place
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4.64Embry-Riddle University-1.525.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Frank | 36.0% | 28.0% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Rowan Barnes | 26.2% | 27.9% | 23.4% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Henry Parker | 15.3% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 7.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 11.3% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 14.6% |
| Zach Lewis | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 26.8% | 35.0% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 23.4% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.