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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel-0.41+2.27vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.36+0.30vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23-0.58vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.77-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.40-0.51vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.52-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27The Citadel-0.4115.0%1st Place
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2.3The Citadel0.3632.5%1st Place
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2.42Clemson University0.2329.8%1st Place
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3.84North Carolina State University-0.7710.8%1st Place
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4.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.406.5%1st Place
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4.67Embry-Riddle University-1.525.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Parker | 15.0% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 23.2% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Noah Frank | 32.5% | 29.3% | 21.2% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 29.8% | 26.8% | 23.2% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Jake Montjoy | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 23.4% | 24.6% | 14.9% |
| Zach Lewis | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 26.2% | 33.9% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 24.6% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.