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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo1.34+5.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+1.46vs Predicted
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4Queen's University2.04+0.47vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.13+4.12vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-0.21+3.73vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35-4.83vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.31+0.51vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.45-3.24vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.82-0.02vs Predicted
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12Colgate University0.49-3.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-0.82-3.02vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-11.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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4.47Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.12Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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2.17Cornell University3.350.4%1st Place
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8.51Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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5.76Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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8.35Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.04Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
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3.74Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Miller | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 9.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 42.4% | 24.6% | 19.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 41.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 41.4% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 14.2% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.