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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+1.20vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.43+1.65vs Predicted
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3Queen's University2.04+1.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+0.49vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.45+0.68vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.43+2.27vs Predicted
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8Colgate University0.49+0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo1.34-2.97vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.31-1.33vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.13-2.01vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.82-1.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.50vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.21-4.03vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.82-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Cornell University3.350.4%1st Place
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3.65Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.47Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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5.68Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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8.27Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.08Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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8.67Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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8.99Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 41.5% | 24.8% | 18.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 15.5% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 9.3% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.