← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel0.36+1.27vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.77+1.73vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel-0.41+0.29vs Predicted
-
4Embry-Riddle University-1.52+0.63vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.23-2.54vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.40-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27The Citadel0.3633.6%1st Place
-
3.73North Carolina State University-0.7711.3%1st Place
-
3.29The Citadel-0.4114.9%1st Place
-
4.63Embry-Riddle University-1.525.3%1st Place
-
2.46Clemson University0.2330.4%1st Place
-
4.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.404.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Frank | 33.6% | 30.2% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Jake Montjoy | 11.3% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 15.0% |
| Henry Parker | 14.9% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 22.2% | 16.3% | 7.1% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 25.6% | 38.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 30.4% | 25.6% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Zach Lewis | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 24.6% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.