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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.36+1.27vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.41+1.28vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.77+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.40+0.57vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.23-2.50vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.52-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27The Citadel0.3636.2%1st Place
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3.28The Citadel-0.4115.3%1st Place
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3.71North Carolina State University-0.7711.8%1st Place
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4.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.406.2%1st Place
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2.5Clemson University0.2325.7%1st Place
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4.67Embry-Riddle University-1.524.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Frank | 36.2% | 25.9% | 20.2% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Henry Parker | 15.3% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 6.5% |
| Jake Montjoy | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 22.7% | 21.3% | 14.5% |
| Zach Lewis | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 25.8% | 36.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 25.7% | 29.2% | 23.3% | 14.3% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.