Race 4B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lauren Turner 40.9% 26.4% 15.5% 8.9% 4.9% 1.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 10.4% 11.9% 14.7% 17.3% 13.9% 10.5% 9.5% 6.9% 2.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.5% 6.0% 8.2% 12.0% 10.7% 13.2% 12.2% 12.5% 8.3% 6.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.0% 12.2% 16.8% 13.8% 14.4% 11.2% 8.5% 6.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 17.1% 20.3% 15.4% 13.8% 15.8% 7.5% 4.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 5.8% 8.2% 10.5% 9.2% 12.6% 15.3% 11.2% 8.8% 9.1% 5.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 3.2% 4.7% 8.0% 6.2% 7.4% 12.1% 13.0% 14.3% 15.4% 8.3% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.9% 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 9.4% 11.2% 17.8% 41.1% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 5.6% 4.6% 5.9% 10.5% 10.6% 12.5% 14.3% 11.8% 9.8% 5.9% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.8% 4.1% 4.4% 4.2% 5.0% 7.3% 11.0% 12.4% 12.2% 12.0% 10.7% 9.3% 5.6% 0.0%
Adrija Navarro 1.7% 1.9% 3.7% 4.6% 5.9% 6.8% 9.6% 10.9% 13.3% 13.0% 14.5% 8.4% 5.7% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 0.7% 1.8% 2.7% 2.3% 3.6% 5.2% 6.5% 8.0% 11.9% 11.5% 14.7% 16.2% 14.9% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 3.1% 2.5% 4.4% 4.7% 8.6% 8.3% 11.7% 15.0% 20.2% 18.0% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.9% 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 9.4% 11.2% 17.8% 41.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.