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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.36+1.29vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.77+1.78vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.41+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.40+0.53vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.23-2.52vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.52-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29The Citadel0.3634.3%1st Place
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3.78North Carolina State University-0.7710.3%1st Place
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3.27The Citadel-0.4116.0%1st Place
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4.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.405.2%1st Place
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2.48Clemson University0.2328.3%1st Place
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4.65Embry-Riddle University-1.525.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Frank | 34.3% | 28.3% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Jake Montjoy | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% |
| Henry Parker | 16.0% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 7.8% |
| Zach Lewis | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 25.9% | 34.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 28.3% | 27.4% | 21.9% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 24.1% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.