Race 5B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 16.2% 17.4% 19.3% 15.4% 12.5% 9.5% 5.0% 2.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 41.5% 28.4% 13.4% 9.2% 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 4.5% 6.9% 9.7% 12.5% 11.5% 12.8% 13.6% 11.5% 7.9% 5.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.5% 7.0% 7.1% 11.2% 13.8% 12.0% 11.4% 12.3% 8.3% 6.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 10.7% 13.8% 15.2% 13.4% 14.3% 12.0% 9.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.4% 13.1% 15.6% 15.2% 12.9% 12.3% 8.5% 6.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 3.0% 3.0% 4.3% 4.6% 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 10.9% 13.3% 11.5% 14.0% 8.5% 3.6% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.5% 1.7% 3.0% 2.4% 4.6% 5.3% 6.6% 8.3% 10.9% 12.5% 15.0% 16.2% 12.0% 0.0%
Adrija Navarro 1.7% 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 4.8% 6.0% 8.8% 11.1% 11.9% 13.8% 11.9% 12.5% 7.1% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 2.1% 3.4% 3.6% 4.4% 4.8% 7.6% 10.6% 11.4% 12.3% 13.0% 10.8% 9.1% 6.9% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.2% 4.8% 7.1% 7.8% 12.1% 18.1% 39.3% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 4.2% 3.5% 5.0% 6.7% 9.6% 12.7% 14.3% 17.6% 19.9% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.3% 1.3% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 5.8% 8.1% 9.1% 10.0% 14.0% 14.5% 15.1% 10.6% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.2% 4.8% 7.1% 7.8% 12.1% 18.1% 39.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.