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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University2.00+0.53vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University1.15+0.08vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.05+1.44vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.51-0.05vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.68+0.12vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.53-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Ohio State University2.0058.8%1st Place
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2.08Ohio State University1.1527.9%1st Place
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4.44Ohio State University-1.052.4%1st Place
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3.95Purdue University-0.514.3%1st Place
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5.12Michigan State University-1.681.7%1st Place
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3.88Ohio State University-0.535.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Becker | 58.8% | 31.4% | 8.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 27.9% | 45.1% | 19.4% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexa Hind | 2.4% | 5.7% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 29.9% | 23.8% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 4.3% | 7.4% | 24.8% | 27.6% | 24.2% | 11.7% |
| George Prokop | 1.7% | 1.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 21.9% | 53.8% |
| Michael Mignogna | 5.0% | 8.5% | 24.2% | 29.1% | 22.7% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.