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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo1.34+5.06vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.43+1.68vs Predicted
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3Queen's University2.04+1.48vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.13+5.08vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.82+5.88vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35-3.81vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.45-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.21+1.84vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.43-0.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-5.50vs Predicted
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11Colgate University0.49-3.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.52vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.31-5.24vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.82-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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3.68Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.48Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.08Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
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2.19Cornell University3.350.4%1st Place
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5.69Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.38Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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7.98Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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8.76Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Miller | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 16.7% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 9.4% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 39.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 41.0% | 28.1% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 39.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.