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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+4.69vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.97+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.26vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.44vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.86+2.31vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.44-1.00vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+0.42vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-0.81vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.55-2.27vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-3.46vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.25-6.43vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Georgetown University2.4010.2%1st Place
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6.69University of Miami2.328.6%1st Place
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7.67College of Charleston1.977.6%1st Place
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6.26University of Pennsylvania2.429.1%1st Place
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7.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.0%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University1.865.1%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University2.4410.9%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University1.814.2%1st Place
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6.41SUNY Maritime College2.519.0%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida1.544.6%1st Place
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8.73Jacksonville University1.554.7%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy2.258.6%1st Place
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8.7Fordham University1.625.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Max Anker | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Owen Timms | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Chapman Petersen | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 17.0% |
| Matthew King | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.