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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.43+2.71vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+0.21vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56+2.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.82+5.94vs Predicted
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6Queen's University2.04-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo1.34-1.00vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.31+0.62vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.13+0.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.00-1.68vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.43-3.84vs Predicted
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13Colgate University0.49-4.70vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.21-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.82-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.21Cornell University3.350.4%1st Place
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5.6Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.45Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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8.62Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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9.13Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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8.16Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.3Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Jacqz | 15.8% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 41.8% | 27.3% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 19.2% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.7% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 19.2% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.