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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.44+5.11vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+2.53vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.26vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.55+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32-0.56vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.97-0.39vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.86-0.69vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-1.74vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-2.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.57vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Stanford University2.449.5%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University2.4010.6%1st Place
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6.45University of Pennsylvania2.428.9%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy2.259.4%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College2.519.0%1st Place
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8.76Jacksonville University1.555.2%1st Place
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6.44University of Miami2.329.5%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston1.977.1%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University1.864.7%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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8.73Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.0%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University1.624.1%1st Place
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9.43University of South Florida1.544.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chapman Petersen | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
Jordan Bruce | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
Gavin McJones | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
Benton Amthor | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
Matthew King | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.9% |
Atlee Kohl | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
Max Anker | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
Owen Timms | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
Micky Munns | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
Charlie Anderson | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
Patrick Dolan | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
Eden Nykamp | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.