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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 15.8% 18.0% 17.6% 15.6% 12.9% 10.0% 5.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 41.8% 27.3% 13.1% 9.7% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 4.8% 8.4% 10.2% 12.7% 13.6% 13.2% 12.2% 11.1% 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 9.3% 12.5% 14.1% 17.0% 12.8% 12.9% 8.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 3.5% 4.2% 5.3% 8.4% 9.7% 19.2% 40.9% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.7% 11.9% 16.2% 15.1% 11.8% 12.3% 9.2% 5.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 6.2% 7.6% 9.3% 6.8% 12.9% 12.8% 12.0% 12.1% 8.6% 6.7% 2.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Adrija Navarro 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 5.3% 5.9% 9.4% 9.1% 14.0% 12.7% 15.0% 10.8% 6.3% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.8% 5.7% 8.9% 11.4% 14.8% 14.4% 14.5% 10.4% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.3% 1.9% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 6.9% 8.6% 12.3% 10.8% 16.1% 14.2% 13.6% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.8% 2.4% 3.7% 5.3% 8.0% 6.2% 10.1% 13.0% 12.8% 11.3% 11.8% 9.2% 4.4% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.6% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 6.2% 7.3% 10.1% 10.4% 12.8% 13.2% 11.6% 10.0% 5.3% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 4.8% 5.2% 7.5% 8.3% 13.6% 15.4% 18.7% 18.6% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 3.5% 4.2% 5.3% 8.4% 9.7% 19.2% 40.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.