← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.67vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+4.42vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.55+5.85vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.44+2.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.43vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.81+2.37vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.40-0.88vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.62+0.53vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.97-1.45vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.46vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.65-2.29vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College2.51-5.80vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.86-4.74vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida1.54-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.67U. S. Naval Academy2.258.8%1st Place
-
6.42University of Miami2.3210.4%1st Place
-
8.85Jacksonville University1.554.3%1st Place
-
6.09Stanford University2.449.0%1st Place
-
6.43University of Pennsylvania2.428.0%1st Place
-
8.37Old Dominion University1.815.9%1st Place
-
6.12Georgetown University2.4010.0%1st Place
-
8.53Fordham University1.625.4%1st Place
-
7.55College of Charleston1.977.1%1st Place
-
7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.5%1st Place
-
8.71Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
-
6.2SUNY Maritime College2.5110.1%1st Place
-
8.26George Washington University1.865.7%1st Place
-
9.24University of South Florida1.544.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Matthew King | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
| Chapman Petersen | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% |
| Max Anker | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Owen Timms | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.