Race 8B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 16.2% 18.1% 17.2% 16.1% 13.7% 8.5% 5.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 43.4% 26.1% 14.1% 8.5% 4.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.1% 6.2% 8.2% 10.3% 12.2% 13.5% 13.2% 11.7% 8.7% 6.1% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 10.0% 13.4% 15.2% 15.0% 12.3% 11.5% 10.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.6% 9.3% 10.9% 11.5% 11.9% 14.0% 13.6% 9.1% 6.3% 3.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 3.3% 6.8% 9.5% 11.0% 13.3% 14.7% 17.2% 11.2% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 2.4% 3.5% 3.8% 5.0% 6.3% 7.9% 8.3% 11.5% 13.5% 13.4% 10.8% 9.7% 3.9% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 10.6% 12.8% 14.4% 13.7% 14.6% 14.7% 9.5% 4.9% 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 4.1% 4.8% 3.7% 7.2% 9.5% 12.4% 12.6% 14.7% 14.0% 10.7% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.6% 0.4% 1.9% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.3% 6.1% 7.5% 11.2% 17.1% 42.4% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.5% 2.3% 3.9% 5.4% 7.2% 8.0% 8.4% 12.4% 13.7% 12.0% 12.2% 8.8% 4.2% 0.0%
Adrija Navarro 1.3% 2.2% 3.6% 3.9% 4.9% 6.5% 7.4% 9.4% 11.9% 14.4% 14.8% 12.4% 7.3% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 6.0% 7.9% 9.2% 12.5% 15.1% 18.1% 19.5% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.6% 0.4% 1.9% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.3% 6.1% 7.5% 11.2% 17.1% 42.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.