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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.43+2.67vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+3.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35-0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.34+2.13vs Predicted
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5Colgate University0.49+3.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-1.55vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.13+1.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.00+1.30vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.09-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.82-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.21-2.34vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-4.55vs Predicted
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14Queen's University2.04-9.46vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.82-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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5.51Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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2.22Cornell University3.350.4%1st Place
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6.13University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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8.02Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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8.88Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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9.2Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.45Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.54Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Rochester-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Jacqz | 15.9% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 41.3% | 24.5% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shyah Miller | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.