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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 15.9% 18.7% 18.3% 14.7% 13.1% 8.6% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.5% 8.4% 9.4% 11.9% 14.4% 14.2% 12.5% 9.0% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 41.3% 24.5% 17.1% 9.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.6% 6.5% 8.3% 9.7% 13.1% 11.4% 12.5% 13.7% 9.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 5.9% 6.0% 7.0% 13.0% 10.1% 12.2% 11.8% 12.1% 9.2% 3.5% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 10.6% 13.5% 14.5% 16.6% 13.0% 10.9% 8.7% 7.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 4.3% 6.6% 7.2% 9.3% 11.8% 13.1% 13.9% 13.8% 9.1% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.3% 2.3% 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.2% 5.7% 9.4% 11.5% 13.9% 14.9% 14.7% 12.2% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 3.3% 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 9.1% 11.8% 13.4% 13.9% 14.5% 12.3% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 7.2% 7.2% 11.5% 17.4% 41.5% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 3.2% 3.0% 5.1% 6.8% 7.5% 10.4% 14.0% 13.9% 17.9% 14.7% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 4.1% 6.1% 6.7% 9.6% 12.2% 11.2% 13.6% 13.3% 9.7% 5.9% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 9.3% 13.3% 15.8% 14.7% 11.8% 14.3% 8.6% 6.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 7.2% 7.2% 11.5% 17.4% 41.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.