← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.32+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.81+6.52vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.86+5.24vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.36vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.40vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.40+0.21vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.72vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.55+0.85vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.44-3.12vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-3.34vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.65-2.41vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.54-2.81vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston1.97-5.37vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.62-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54University of Miami2.328.3%1st Place
-
8.52Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
-
8.24George Washington University1.866.5%1st Place
-
6.36University of Pennsylvania2.429.2%1st Place
-
7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.6%1st Place
-
6.21Georgetown University2.409.4%1st Place
-
6.28SUNY Maritime College2.5110.8%1st Place
-
8.85Jacksonville University1.554.6%1st Place
-
5.88Stanford University2.4410.7%1st Place
-
6.66U. S. Naval Academy2.258.1%1st Place
-
8.59Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
-
9.19University of South Florida1.544.0%1st Place
-
7.63College of Charleston1.977.0%1st Place
-
8.68Fordham University1.624.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% |
| Owen Timms | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Matthew King | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.4% |
| Chapman Petersen | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 17.6% |
| Max Anker | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.