Race 10B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lauren Turner 40.8% 27.0% 15.4% 8.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 10.5% 11.9% 15.8% 16.3% 14.4% 10.9% 8.9% 5.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 5.8% 7.3% 11.1% 12.5% 12.2% 13.1% 13.6% 10.7% 6.4% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 10.9% 12.5% 14.8% 14.2% 13.9% 12.8% 8.3% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 17.3% 19.3% 16.0% 15.3% 13.8% 8.5% 5.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.4% 6.3% 7.3% 10.6% 10.0% 15.0% 13.6% 10.8% 8.6% 4.7% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.3% 4.7% 6.6% 5.9% 8.5% 10.4% 14.0% 15.2% 14.6% 11.4% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.9% 0.2% 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% 3.0% 3.3% 4.3% 4.9% 9.2% 11.3% 18.4% 40.0% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 1.1% 1.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 5.2% 7.8% 9.0% 12.2% 15.9% 17.4% 18.2% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.8% 4.0% 3.8% 4.9% 4.3% 7.7% 10.5% 13.0% 13.1% 12.7% 10.9% 8.1% 5.2% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.9% 8.0% 8.0% 10.8% 11.9% 14.8% 11.6% 10.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.0% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 5.1% 5.0% 8.0% 9.6% 12.5% 11.3% 14.5% 14.7% 10.8% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 1.1% 1.4% 2.8% 3.0% 4.4% 4.6% 8.2% 9.5% 10.9% 13.1% 16.1% 16.0% 8.9% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.9% 0.2% 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% 3.0% 3.3% 4.3% 4.9% 9.2% 11.3% 18.4% 40.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.