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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.17vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.31vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+1.93vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.86+3.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+2.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.97+0.50vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55+0.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.62-0.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-3.34vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-3.54vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.44-5.83vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-4.23vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17SUNY Maritime College2.519.8%1st Place
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6.64University of Miami2.328.6%1st Place
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6.31University of Pennsylvania2.4210.3%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University2.4010.2%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University1.865.3%1st Place
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8.28Old Dominion University1.815.8%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston1.976.8%1st Place
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8.75Jacksonville University1.554.6%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy2.258.6%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.7%1st Place
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6.17Stanford University2.4410.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
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9.28University of South Florida1.544.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Owen Timms | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Max Anker | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% |
| Matthew King | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Chapman Petersen | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.