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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.47vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+6.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+3.01vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.26vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+3.85vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.44-0.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.97+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.58vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.55-0.10vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.67vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.54-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-5.41vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-4.26vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.86-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47U. S. Naval Academy2.2510.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University1.814.8%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University2.4010.8%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College2.519.7%1st Place
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8.85Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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5.97Stanford University2.4411.2%1st Place
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7.6College of Charleston1.976.7%1st Place
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6.42University of Pennsylvania2.428.2%1st Place
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8.9Jacksonville University1.554.7%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.9%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida1.543.9%1st Place
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6.59University of Miami2.328.8%1st Place
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8.74Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University1.865.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Chapman Petersen | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Max Anker | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Matthew King | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.1% |
| Owen Timms | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.