Race 11B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 15.4% 18.9% 18.8% 15.5% 12.4% 9.1% 6.1% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.5% 8.1% 11.7% 11.6% 13.9% 14.6% 11.6% 10.4% 6.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 40.9% 26.6% 16.4% 8.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.9% 2.5% 3.6% 5.2% 6.9% 8.9% 10.5% 11.4% 13.8% 13.5% 9.9% 7.9% 4.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 6.1% 7.0% 8.1% 11.4% 11.5% 14.2% 11.8% 11.8% 9.0% 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.7% 7.8% 8.2% 10.6% 18.4% 38.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.7% 13.9% 14.9% 13.4% 15.1% 11.7% 9.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.1% 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.6% 6.0% 9.5% 9.9% 13.2% 14.0% 13.4% 12.6% 7.3% 0.0%
Samuel Watterson 12.1% 14.0% 14.8% 15.2% 15.4% 11.3% 8.6% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 5.2% 7.3% 11.2% 11.4% 13.4% 14.3% 13.8% 10.7% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 3.5% 3.7% 5.0% 6.2% 10.0% 10.8% 15.0% 14.1% 14.8% 13.7% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 4.0% 4.3% 5.5% 7.9% 10.3% 10.5% 12.9% 17.3% 12.6% 10.0% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.8% 3.3% 3.3% 6.7% 8.3% 10.4% 12.8% 15.2% 18.0% 15.9% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.7% 7.8% 8.2% 10.6% 18.4% 38.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.