Race 12B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Watterson 11.1% 15.7% 14.9% 15.3% 14.1% 12.6% 7.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 17.8% 17.5% 18.5% 14.7% 13.2% 8.1% 5.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.8% 6.6% 8.7% 10.5% 13.7% 12.2% 14.6% 11.4% 9.0% 5.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.1% 11.4% 15.4% 16.7% 14.0% 11.7% 9.1% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 5.2% 6.8% 8.5% 10.8% 11.9% 13.0% 11.4% 12.0% 7.0% 3.4% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.3% 9.5% 11.2% 11.3% 13.3% 14.7% 12.4% 7.5% 7.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 40.7% 27.3% 13.9% 10.0% 4.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.6% 3.6% 4.0% 4.2% 6.5% 8.5% 11.3% 19.2% 37.0% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 1.5% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 4.0% 5.8% 7.4% 10.1% 11.3% 14.3% 13.8% 14.1% 9.4% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.5% 2.6% 3.8% 2.5% 4.1% 5.0% 8.9% 12.0% 13.9% 12.4% 12.5% 12.1% 8.7% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 5.4% 7.4% 8.8% 12.2% 13.4% 15.0% 15.0% 12.9% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 4.1% 5.9% 6.4% 10.8% 10.0% 14.8% 14.5% 13.9% 12.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 0.9% 0.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 5.3% 9.9% 9.6% 12.7% 16.2% 16.9% 16.1% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.6% 3.6% 4.0% 4.2% 6.5% 8.5% 11.3% 19.2% 37.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.