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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+6.37vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+6.80vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+5.43vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+2.08vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.44+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+0.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.25-0.21vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.97-0.46vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.64vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.86-2.73vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.62-3.24vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.51-6.81vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.6%1st Place
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8.8Jacksonville University1.554.5%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University1.814.5%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.4010.1%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University2.4410.5%1st Place
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6.52University of Miami2.329.3%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Naval Academy2.257.4%1st Place
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7.54College of Charleston1.976.7%1st Place
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8.74Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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6.36University of Pennsylvania2.4210.1%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University1.865.1%1st Place
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8.76Fordham University1.624.7%1st Place
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6.19SUNY Maritime College2.5110.4%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida1.544.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Matthew King | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Max Anker | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Owen Timms | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.