Race 13B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Watterson 12.2% 13.7% 15.7% 13.8% 14.9% 12.6% 8.2% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.9% 8.3% 11.0% 11.9% 12.2% 14.6% 12.7% 10.7% 5.1% 3.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.9% 6.3% 9.0% 11.2% 11.3% 12.7% 15.1% 11.2% 9.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 40.0% 26.0% 17.4% 9.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 4.9% 8.3% 8.3% 9.8% 12.8% 12.5% 12.6% 11.8% 6.3% 3.4% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 15.6% 19.9% 17.8% 15.6% 13.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 4.7% 5.6% 9.9% 9.8% 12.2% 14.0% 12.9% 13.1% 7.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.3% 12.8% 13.4% 16.6% 13.8% 14.1% 9.6% 4.1% 2.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.0% 8.9% 10.8% 13.4% 14.7% 17.7% 15.2% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 7.4% 10.6% 12.6% 13.3% 13.4% 14.3% 10.7% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 3.5% 5.4% 7.5% 8.0% 11.3% 12.8% 14.8% 12.4% 11.6% 7.6% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 3.1% 5.0% 5.5% 8.2% 10.3% 11.2% 15.4% 18.1% 16.7% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 4.5% 7.2% 7.7% 14.0% 17.4% 39.1% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 4.5% 7.2% 7.7% 14.0% 17.4% 39.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.