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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.36vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+6.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+3.17vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.45vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.44+1.02vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.86+2.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.97+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32-1.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.48vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.86vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-2.28vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.54-3.63vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.55-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of Pennsylvania2.429.3%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University2.409.8%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.4%1st Place
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6.02Stanford University2.4410.2%1st Place
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8.28George Washington University1.864.2%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston1.976.9%1st Place
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6.6University of Miami2.328.3%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Naval Academy2.259.1%1st Place
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6.14SUNY Maritime College2.5110.1%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University1.625.5%1st Place
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8.7Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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9.37University of South Florida1.543.8%1st Place
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8.76Jacksonville University1.554.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Owen Timms | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Max Anker | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.4% |
| Matthew King | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.