Race 14B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Watterson 11.3% 14.6% 14.3% 17.9% 13.8% 11.7% 7.9% 5.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 41.6% 27.3% 14.8% 9.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 10.2% 13.1% 16.3% 13.9% 13.6% 12.0% 10.3% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.8% 6.7% 7.5% 11.4% 12.3% 13.9% 13.0% 12.3% 8.6% 5.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 7.4% 7.9% 11.1% 13.3% 11.7% 12.7% 11.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.7% 8.2% 10.1% 13.9% 12.4% 15.5% 11.9% 9.2% 6.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 16.5% 18.5% 19.3% 12.8% 13.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 5.6% 9.3% 11.4% 12.2% 15.5% 17.6% 14.2% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 5.4% 6.5% 9.4% 12.4% 13.1% 14.3% 15.0% 11.1% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.6% 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 7.9% 7.2% 13.2% 17.6% 37.8% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.7% 5.7% 5.9% 9.3% 11.2% 13.1% 13.4% 12.6% 12.0% 7.6% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 4.9% 6.3% 8.5% 9.7% 10.0% 16.3% 13.8% 11.7% 9.9% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 3.5% 3.6% 6.0% 7.4% 11.7% 13.8% 14.5% 17.5% 16.2% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 0.6% 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 7.9% 7.2% 13.2% 17.6% 37.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.