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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+5.05vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+5.82vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.44+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.36vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.86+2.11vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.55+1.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.31vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-3.40vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.97-3.42vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.62-3.13vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-5.63vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Georgetown University2.4010.0%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College2.5110.3%1st Place
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8.82Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University2.449.5%1st Place
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6.36University of Pennsylvania2.428.2%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University1.866.3%1st Place
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8.64Jacksonville University1.554.5%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.258.0%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University1.816.2%1st Place
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6.6University of Miami2.328.9%1st Place
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7.58College of Charleston1.977.0%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University1.625.0%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.5%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida1.543.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% |
| Chapman Petersen | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Owen Timms | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Matthew King | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Max Anker | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.