Race 15B

maisa-north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 22.5% 19.5% 15.9% 13.2% 12.0% 7.4% 4.8% 2.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 15.0% 15.5% 15.4% 13.1% 12.5% 8.6% 8.9% 6.4% 2.9% 0.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 8.3% 8.8% 12.2% 10.9% 11.4% 13.0% 11.7% 10.9% 6.2% 3.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 2.8% 1.9% 4.8% 4.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.6% 11.0% 12.4% 13.4% 12.3% 8.7% 5.5% 0.0%
Michael Rivlin 16.7% 16.0% 14.8% 13.4% 12.2% 12.8% 5.2% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.4% 8.0% 7.5% 11.0% 11.3% 11.9% 12.1% 10.5% 7.6% 6.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Watterson 16.5% 16.9% 14.5% 14.7% 11.3% 9.7% 7.8% 4.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 2.4% 4.6% 6.8% 9.1% 12.3% 11.9% 14.7% 17.0% 10.9% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 1.0% 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 4.7% 4.8% 6.8% 10.4% 18.5% 42.7% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 1.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 4.8% 8.0% 8.9% 12.3% 12.1% 14.5% 14.3% 10.5% 0.0%
Shyah Miller 1.0% 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 4.7% 4.8% 6.8% 10.4% 18.5% 42.7% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 4.6% 4.6% 5.3% 8.3% 10.4% 14.5% 14.6% 15.5% 15.3% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.8% 6.1% 7.7% 6.8% 11.5% 14.0% 15.0% 13.9% 10.3% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 9.8% 12.0% 12.4% 13.8% 11.4% 9.8% 4.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.