← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mateo Di Blasi 9.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 7.0% 8.0% 6.7% 7.1% 5.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.6%
Benton Amthor 10.9% 8.7% 8.5% 8.5% 8.9% 9.3% 8.8% 6.7% 6.8% 6.9% 5.9% 4.8% 3.5% 2.1%
Chapman Petersen 11.1% 11.0% 9.3% 9.5% 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 7.1% 6.7% 6.1% 5.5% 4.0% 2.9% 1.5%
Gavin McJones 8.0% 9.2% 7.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% 6.7% 7.2% 6.8% 6.4% 6.2% 4.3% 3.1%
Jordan Bruce 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 7.1% 9.3% 8.2% 8.0% 8.0% 7.0% 5.5% 5.0% 3.9% 1.8%
Micky Munns 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 5.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 7.3% 8.9% 9.4% 10.3% 11.3%
Max Anker 6.7% 7.5% 4.8% 7.1% 7.0% 6.6% 8.3% 6.9% 7.5% 7.5% 8.5% 8.1% 8.0% 5.5%
Owen Timms 5.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.2% 6.6% 5.9% 6.7% 7.7% 7.2% 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 10.2% 9.1%
Charlie Anderson 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 7.0% 7.1% 8.1% 6.6% 8.2% 7.9% 6.7% 7.2% 8.2% 6.5% 5.5%
Eden Nykamp 5.0% 4.1% 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 6.2% 6.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.9% 11.1% 19.6%
Atlee Kohl 8.3% 8.6% 9.6% 8.0% 8.2% 9.7% 7.5% 7.5% 8.1% 7.0% 6.0% 5.1% 4.7% 1.9%
Patrick Dolan 5.9% 5.0% 4.9% 4.5% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9% 6.7% 5.9% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 11.6% 13.1%
Matthew King 4.3% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 5.8% 4.8% 6.6% 6.0% 7.3% 7.1% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 13.8%
Noyl Odom 5.4% 5.0% 6.1% 6.2% 6.4% 5.2% 6.5% 7.5% 7.4% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 10.6% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.