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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+5.02vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.28vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.44+2.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+2.69vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+2.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.97+0.67vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.86+0.29vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-4.46vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.62-3.30vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-4.22vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.81-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Georgetown University2.409.8%1st Place
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6.28SUNY Maritime College2.5110.9%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University2.4411.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.258.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Pennsylvania2.428.6%1st Place
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8.6Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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7.67College of Charleston1.976.7%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University1.865.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.8%1st Place
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9.28University of South Florida1.545.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Miami2.328.3%1st Place
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8.7Fordham University1.625.9%1st Place
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8.78Jacksonville University1.554.3%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University1.815.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
Chapman Petersen | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Gavin McJones | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
Jordan Bruce | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
Micky Munns | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% |
Max Anker | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
Owen Timms | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
Charlie Anderson | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
Eden Nykamp | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 19.6% |
Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
Patrick Dolan | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% |
Matthew King | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.8% |
Noyl Odom | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.