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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+1.04vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+0.69vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+0.09vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.97-0.04vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.95-1.07vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.34-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Ohio State University0.6440.2%1st Place
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2.69Purdue University-0.4923.0%1st Place
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3.09Ohio State University0.0917.0%1st Place
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3.96Ohio State University-0.978.6%1st Place
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3.93Ohio State University-0.958.6%1st Place
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5.29Michigan State University-2.342.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 40.2% | 30.6% | 17.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 23.0% | 25.1% | 24.0% | 17.4% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Emily Williams | 17.0% | 18.8% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 3.8% |
| Alexandra Avery | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 30.4% | 13.8% |
| Dylan Jones | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 22.7% | 28.5% | 13.8% |
| Quinn Schwartz | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.