Race 1B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Diego Escobar 10.0% 10.7% 9.8% 8.8% 9.8% 8.6% 7.5% 7.6% 6.6% 6.9% 5.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.0%
Nick Chisari 7.2% 8.6% 6.3% 7.0% 8.4% 9.3% 7.8% 8.1% 8.6% 7.4% 7.2% 6.2% 5.0% 2.6%
Oscar MacGillivray 5.1% 4.5% 4.7% 5.6% 4.8% 4.5% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 11.9% 10.5%
Nathan Smith 15.0% 13.7% 12.8% 11.1% 9.4% 8.3% 8.3% 5.5% 5.3% 4.2% 3.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.4%
Diogo Silva 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 7.8% 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 7.6% 6.7%
Griffin Richardson 3.1% 2.9% 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.8% 7.3% 9.7% 15.3% 26.6%
Owen Bannasch 10.2% 9.4% 10.0% 8.0% 8.7% 8.8% 9.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8%
Lawson Levine 5.9% 7.1% 8.5% 7.2% 8.6% 8.3% 8.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.2% 7.7% 6.6% 5.0% 3.0%
Justin Lim 11.9% 10.8% 9.5% 11.2% 9.0% 9.0% 7.3% 7.6% 6.9% 5.8% 4.5% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9%
Javier Garcon 7.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 8.2% 7.5% 8.2% 8.5% 8.0% 6.8% 7.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.9%
Noah Robitshek 5.0% 5.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.5% 7.6% 6.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.1% 9.8% 7.2%
Steven Hardee 5.1% 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.5% 6.9% 8.5% 9.7% 9.0% 9.3% 6.7%
Peter Lobaugh 6.5% 6.8% 7.9% 8.2% 7.5% 8.4% 6.8% 8.2% 9.0% 7.8% 6.0% 7.0% 6.8% 2.9%
Max Kleha 2.4% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 9.3% 9.8% 15.3% 26.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.