Race 2B

2022-truxtun-umsted

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Diogo Silva 4.8% 6.2% 5.3% 6.2% 5.7% 6.5% 6.4% 7.7% 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 8.6% 6.0%
Oscar MacGillivray 5.3% 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.2% 8.2% 8.6% 9.6% 10.9% 11.3%
Diego Escobar 10.0% 11.2% 8.6% 9.8% 8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 8.8% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4%
Owen Bannasch 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 8.4% 9.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 6.3% 6.2% 4.2% 3.5% 1.1%
Nathan Smith 14.8% 13.1% 12.2% 11.1% 10.5% 9.9% 6.7% 6.3% 5.1% 4.1% 3.0% 1.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 8.1% 7.8% 8.8% 7.4% 7.6% 5.2% 3.4%
Javier Garcon 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 7.8% 7.2% 6.6% 8.0% 8.2% 7.1% 8.2% 7.8% 5.9% 5.9% 2.9%
Justin Lim 10.7% 10.6% 11.2% 8.6% 10.4% 9.3% 8.1% 7.8% 6.3% 5.5% 4.3% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0%
Lawson Levine 7.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.2% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.0% 6.2% 7.2% 5.7% 3.1%
Noah Robitshek 5.1% 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 5.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.1% 8.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.8% 9.3% 7.4%
Steven Hardee 5.9% 5.1% 4.5% 7.5% 6.6% 6.0% 7.8% 6.7% 8.2% 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.5% 6.5%
Peter Lobaugh 7.0% 6.9% 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 7.4% 8.5% 7.5% 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 6.5% 5.1% 3.6%
Griffin Richardson 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.7% 4.0% 4.0% 4.6% 7.0% 7.5% 10.9% 13.9% 27.7%
Max Kleha 2.8% 3.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 4.2% 4.8% 5.9% 6.0% 7.6% 10.1% 15.7% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.