Race 3B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Javier Garcon 7.2% 8.0% 7.1% 7.7% 7.8% 7.9% 7.5% 7.8% 8.5% 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 5.9% 2.6%
Nathan Smith 14.7% 14.0% 12.9% 10.2% 9.0% 9.7% 7.3% 6.3% 5.2% 4.3% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Noah Robitshek 6.0% 5.2% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.2% 6.5% 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 8.6% 7.2%
Steven Hardee 5.9% 6.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 8.8% 8.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.7%
Lawson Levine 7.8% 6.8% 7.3% 7.4% 8.8% 7.7% 7.9% 8.1% 7.8% 8.3% 7.3% 6.8% 5.1% 3.0%
Diogo Silva 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.9% 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 8.4% 9.5% 5.1%
Justin Lim 10.0% 10.2% 10.7% 10.4% 9.1% 8.7% 8.5% 7.1% 6.8% 6.2% 4.9% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Diego Escobar 10.4% 10.2% 8.9% 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 6.7% 5.2% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1%
Nick Chisari 7.1% 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% 8.5% 8.0% 8.8% 8.3% 8.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 5.7% 2.9%
Peter Lobaugh 7.4% 6.6% 7.8% 7.0% 7.8% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 5.8% 4.6%
Owen Bannasch 9.4% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 8.7% 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5%
Max Kleha 2.1% 3.5% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 3.3% 3.8% 5.0% 5.5% 7.1% 8.4% 9.8% 14.9% 26.2%
Griffin Richardson 2.4% 3.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.6% 7.1% 8.5% 9.4% 14.3% 26.2%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.4% 4.5% 5.1% 5.7% 4.6% 6.3% 6.9% 5.8% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 10.5% 12.3% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.