Race 4B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Smith 14.0% 13.9% 12.6% 10.7% 10.1% 9.3% 7.5% 6.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Javier Garcon 7.3% 7.0% 8.5% 8.0% 8.6% 8.0% 7.2% 8.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.3% 5.6% 5.2% 3.1%
Diego Escobar 10.0% 9.6% 8.8% 9.9% 8.9% 8.1% 8.8% 8.0% 7.6% 6.5% 5.4% 4.0% 3.5% 1.2%
Lawson Levine 7.1% 7.4% 6.6% 7.9% 8.9% 7.8% 8.5% 8.4% 7.1% 8.2% 7.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.3%
Steven Hardee 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 6.7% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 8.5% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 6.7%
Noah Robitshek 5.3% 6.3% 6.2% 5.5% 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 9.5% 7.0%
Nick Chisari 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.0% 8.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.9% 6.9% 7.0% 6.5% 5.5% 2.9%
Justin Lim 11.7% 10.9% 10.7% 9.6% 9.2% 9.3% 8.1% 6.6% 7.3% 5.5% 5.1% 3.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Diogo Silva 5.7% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.3% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 9.5% 9.3% 8.6% 5.5%
Owen Bannasch 9.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.6% 8.7% 9.2% 7.8% 8.6% 7.9% 7.5% 5.4% 5.5% 3.3% 1.4%
Peter Lobaugh 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 6.2% 8.2% 7.1% 8.1% 6.7% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 8.6% 4.9% 3.9%
Max Kleha 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 4.7% 5.1% 7.2% 8.2% 9.6% 15.2% 26.2%
Griffin Richardson 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.6% 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 6.0% 7.8% 10.2% 14.4% 26.8%
Oscar MacGillivray 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 7.9% 7.4% 9.2% 10.0% 12.4% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.