Race 5B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Smith 13.7% 13.1% 13.2% 12.5% 9.2% 9.8% 7.4% 6.6% 5.0% 4.5% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Diogo Silva 5.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.6% 7.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 8.8% 7.8% 7.4%
Lawson Levine 7.7% 7.6% 7.1% 8.2% 7.6% 7.4% 8.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 5.1% 2.5%
Steven Hardee 4.7% 6.0% 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 7.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 8.8% 9.0% 8.6% 8.1% 6.4%
Javier Garcon 7.5% 7.6% 6.3% 7.5% 7.1% 8.9% 8.6% 8.5% 6.9% 7.2% 8.4% 7.8% 5.1% 2.4%
Justin Lim 10.1% 12.3% 8.3% 9.1% 9.0% 8.3% 8.8% 8.3% 6.9% 6.6% 5.2% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0%
Diego Escobar 10.2% 9.2% 10.5% 8.5% 8.8% 8.0% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 7.2% 5.5% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4%
Noah Robitshek 5.7% 4.8% 6.1% 6.0% 6.7% 5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 8.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0% 9.2% 6.2%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 5.3% 5.9% 6.1% 6.2% 8.3% 7.0% 8.4% 11.3% 13.1% 9.8%
Nick Chisari 8.2% 8.3% 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 8.5% 7.5% 7.7% 5.9% 5.3% 2.8%
Max Kleha 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.6% 15.7% 26.4%
Peter Lobaugh 8.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.7% 7.4% 7.4% 8.3% 7.7% 8.4% 7.8% 6.9% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5%
Owen Bannasch 8.8% 8.5% 9.2% 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 8.5% 7.8% 4.9% 5.0% 3.4% 1.1%
Griffin Richardson 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.7% 5.3% 4.6% 5.9% 8.1% 9.6% 15.5% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.