Race 6B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Javier Garcon 8.7% 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 7.6% 7.2% 8.9% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5%
Diego Escobar 9.0% 9.3% 10.1% 8.9% 9.8% 8.1% 8.8% 8.2% 7.0% 6.9% 6.0% 3.8% 2.6% 1.3%
Nathan Smith 14.8% 12.9% 12.0% 11.8% 10.8% 8.6% 7.0% 6.6% 5.3% 4.3% 2.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Justin Lim 11.8% 11.6% 10.2% 7.6% 9.8% 9.0% 8.8% 8.0% 6.3% 5.5% 4.5% 3.7% 2.4% 0.9%
Owen Bannasch 7.7% 10.1% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.2% 7.3% 6.3% 6.9% 5.0% 4.0% 1.6%
Lawson Levine 6.9% 7.8% 7.7% 7.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.5% 7.3% 9.2% 7.8% 7.2% 5.8% 5.1% 2.9%
Diogo Silva 6.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.3% 5.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.7% 9.8% 5.9%
Nick Chisari 6.7% 7.1% 8.2% 8.3% 8.1% 8.8% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 7.3% 6.8% 5.9% 2.6%
Noah Robitshek 5.3% 4.9% 5.2% 6.9% 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 8.1% 7.5% 8.3% 8.9% 9.9% 8.9% 7.8%
Griffin Richardson 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 2.9% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 7.0% 7.3% 9.5% 14.8% 26.5%
Steven Hardee 5.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 6.5% 7.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.2% 8.8% 8.2% 9.2% 9.3% 6.1%
Max Kleha 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.4% 5.8% 6.7% 7.1% 11.8% 14.5% 27.2%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.2% 4.8% 4.3% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 5.8% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 10.8% 11.0% 10.9%
Peter Lobaugh 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 7.2% 8.4% 7.6% 7.7% 7.9% 6.8% 8.2% 7.1% 5.9% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.