Race 7B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Smith 15.2% 12.9% 11.5% 11.2% 11.1% 8.0% 8.0% 6.7% 5.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Diego Escobar 10.5% 10.9% 9.9% 10.5% 7.7% 8.6% 8.2% 8.4% 6.9% 6.2% 4.2% 3.6% 2.8% 1.6%
Diogo Silva 5.5% 4.8% 6.5% 7.8% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 5.9% 7.4% 8.8% 8.4% 9.2% 10.1% 5.7%
Steven Hardee 3.6% 6.8% 5.9% 6.5% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 7.1% 8.9% 7.3% 10.3% 9.5% 9.0% 5.9%
Max Kleha 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 4.6% 5.3% 6.9% 8.5% 10.4% 14.3% 26.6%
Justin Lim 11.0% 10.2% 11.2% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 6.6% 5.7% 4.5% 4.5% 2.5% 0.8%
Nick Chisari 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 8.0% 7.5% 8.6% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 5.1% 2.5%
Javier Garcon 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 7.4% 8.8% 8.2% 7.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.0% 6.2% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9%
Lawson Levine 7.4% 7.6% 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 7.1% 7.4% 6.7% 5.7% 2.3%
Owen Bannasch 8.2% 8.7% 8.9% 8.1% 10.3% 8.6% 8.3% 6.8% 8.3% 6.6% 6.8% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8%
Peter Lobaugh 6.9% 8.5% 6.5% 7.2% 6.3% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7% 4.3%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 5.3% 6.2% 7.9% 6.7% 9.4% 9.5% 8.6% 11.6% 10.8%
Noah Robitshek 5.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 5.9% 6.6% 8.0% 6.8% 7.2% 8.6% 8.8% 9.9% 9.7% 6.9%
Griffin Richardson 3.2% 2.5% 3.0% 3.3% 2.9% 4.2% 3.5% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 8.3% 10.0% 14.0% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.