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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.42+5.67vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+5.71vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.74vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41+1.50vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.94+1.78vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90+3.70vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.38vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+1.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.37vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.10-4.02vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.90-4.40vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-4.30vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67SUNY Maritime College0.427.9%1st Place
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7.71University of Miami1.645.5%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University2.209.8%1st Place
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5.5Stanford University2.4112.0%1st Place
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6.78Fordham University1.947.0%1st Place
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9.7Eckerd College0.902.6%1st Place
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6.62University of Pennsylvania1.907.6%1st Place
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9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.902.9%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Naval Academy2.6015.9%1st Place
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5.98Jacksonville University2.109.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston1.907.6%1st Place
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7.7Old Dominion University1.595.7%1st Place
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7.66Boston University1.396.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Justin Lim | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 28.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Max Kleha | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 29.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Lawson Levine | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.