Race 10B

2022-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Chisari 8.1% 9.2% 7.0% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 9.7% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 6.6% 6.6% 3.2%
Nathan Smith 15.0% 14.4% 13.2% 11.5% 9.8% 9.0% 8.3% 6.9% 5.1% 3.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Diogo Silva 6.6% 6.3% 6.7% 6.5% 6.8% 8.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 9.6% 7.5%
Javier Garcon 8.7% 7.2% 7.6% 8.8% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 6.9% 8.1% 6.5% 3.5%
Justin Lim 11.2% 11.1% 11.8% 10.4% 10.0% 9.8% 8.3% 7.0% 6.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.6% 1.4%
Diego Escobar 10.4% 9.5% 10.5% 9.2% 10.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.6% 7.5% 5.7% 5.3% 3.9% 2.2%
Lawson Levine 8.4% 8.2% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 8.6% 7.9% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 5.3% 3.7%
Owen Bannasch 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 10.2% 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.6% 9.0% 7.1% 6.4% 3.1% 1.7%
Peter Lobaugh 7.2% 8.0% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 9.8% 8.9% 8.2% 9.6% 7.1% 4.2%
Steven Hardee 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 6.5% 6.5% 7.0% 6.8% 8.8% 7.8% 9.3% 10.0% 12.3% 7.1%
Noah Robitshek 5.1% 5.3% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 7.3% 8.0% 8.5% 9.6% 9.6% 10.1% 9.6% 9.0%
Griffin Richardson 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.5% 6.7% 8.1% 10.0% 16.3% 27.8%
Max Kleha 2.5% 3.2% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 5.7% 5.5% 6.6% 8.6% 9.6% 15.7% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.