Race 2A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 25.2% 21.3% 16.5% 13.5% 10.1% 7.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Teddy Martin 13.2% 13.7% 12.2% 12.8% 11.3% 13.3% 11.1% 8.2% 4.2%
Hugh Carty 12.7% 11.5% 12.7% 13.5% 13.2% 13.0% 10.5% 8.9% 4.0%
Benjamin Smith 14.6% 12.7% 15.8% 14.6% 13.7% 10.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.9%
Mats Braaten 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 11.1% 13.0% 13.9% 13.5% 13.5% 9.2%
Joseph Marynowski 6.7% 9.4% 8.2% 9.0% 11.1% 10.8% 16.0% 16.4% 12.4%
Eva Wieting 2.9% 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.0% 10.2% 17.3% 43.4%
Tyler Brown 11.5% 11.2% 13.2% 12.2% 12.5% 12.7% 11.7% 9.7% 5.4%
Olivia Gilmore 5.3% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 11.6% 13.9% 18.6% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.