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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+1.07vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+0.67vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+0.08vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.97-0.03vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.95-1.10vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.34-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Ohio State University0.6440.6%1st Place
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2.67Purdue University-0.4923.7%1st Place
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3.08Ohio State University0.0917.1%1st Place
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3.97Ohio State University-0.978.0%1st Place
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3.9Ohio State University-0.958.5%1st Place
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5.32Michigan State University-2.342.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 40.6% | 28.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 23.7% | 26.1% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Emily Williams | 17.1% | 19.8% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 4.0% |
| Alexandra Avery | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 29.4% | 13.8% |
| Dylan Jones | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 29.8% | 12.5% |
| Quinn Schwartz | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.