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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+6.81vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+4.28vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+5.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.31+4.93vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.81vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.19+4.62vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37+2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.39+1.86vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.25-2.81vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.44-2.72vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-4.25vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.32-5.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.65-4.76vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-4.97vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-5.58vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Northeastern University1.186.3%1st Place
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6.28Jacksonville University-1.3810.8%1st Place
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8.58Old Dominion University0.956.2%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont1.315.3%1st Place
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5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7612.6%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University1.135.6%1st Place
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11.62University of Miami0.192.8%1st Place
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10.42Boston University0.374.2%1st Place
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10.86University of Michigan0.393.4%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.258.6%1st Place
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8.28University of South Florida1.446.2%1st Place
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7.75North Carolina State University1.267.9%1st Place
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7.7George Washington University1.326.9%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College0.654.3%1st Place
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10.03Christopher Newport University0.653.9%1st Place
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10.42University of Wisconsin0.363.8%1st Place
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13.43SUNY Maritime College-0.251.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Grace Gear | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.