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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.31+7.93vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+4.43vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+5.49vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+3.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+3.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+1.14vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65+2.96vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.65+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.36+1.17vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-2.08vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.26-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.39-1.23vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-4.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.19-3.40vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.56vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-11.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93University of Vermont1.315.5%1st Place
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6.43Jacksonville University-1.3810.2%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University0.956.6%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University1.327.0%1st Place
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8.05University of South Florida1.446.9%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University1.258.8%1st Place
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9.96Christopher Newport University0.654.0%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College0.655.7%1st Place
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10.17University of Wisconsin0.363.5%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University1.187.1%1st Place
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7.89North Carolina State University1.267.6%1st Place
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10.77University of Michigan0.393.5%1st Place
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8.71Fordham University1.135.5%1st Place
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10.55Boston University0.373.4%1st Place
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11.6University of Miami0.192.4%1st Place
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13.44SUNY Maritime College-0.251.8%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7610.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Gear | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 36.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.