← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.10+10.93vs Predicted
-
2California State University Monterey Bay1.69+12.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington2.79+5.74vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley2.12+8.15vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University4.19-1.36vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University2.20+5.61vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine2.17+4.63vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+3.31vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College3.24-2.50vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay1.69+4.22vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University2.36-0.28vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California2.64-2.54vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-2.79vs Predicted
-
14Oregon State University1.52+1.14vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.85vs Predicted
-
17University of Puget Sound1.23-0.52vs Predicted
-
19University of Hawaii3.04-11.49vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-4.68vs Predicted
-
21University of Hawaii3.68-15.77vs Predicted
-
22Western Washington University1.02-5.17vs Predicted
-
23University of California at San Diego1.60-8.73vs Predicted
-
24University of Oregon0.46-4.30vs Predicted
-
25University of Texas1.17-8.47vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis0.45-6.69vs Predicted
-
27University of Oregon0.76-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.93University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
-
14.22California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.74University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
-
12.15University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
-
3.64Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
-
11.61Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
-
11.63University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
-
11.31California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
-
6.5Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
-
14.22California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
10.72Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.46University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
-
15.14Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
16.48University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
-
7.51University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
15.32University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
-
5.23University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
-
16.83Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.27University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
19.7University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
16.53University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
-
19.31University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
-
18.4University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 24.8% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.