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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+8.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.46+8.43vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay1.69+11.15vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.36+6.97vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.52+9.70vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.79+2.80vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.20+4.61vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.24-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.17+2.33vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+1.31vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.02+6.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.28vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.19-9.29vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.10-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.46+4.70vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii3.04-8.46vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.85vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley2.12-7.12vs Predicted
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20University of Puget Sound1.23-3.67vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego1.60-6.93vs Predicted
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22University of Texas1.17-5.68vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-7.43vs Predicted
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24University of Hawaii3.68-18.87vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.45-6.65vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon0.76-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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14.15California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.97Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.7Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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11.61Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.86Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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11.31California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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17.3Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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3.71Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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11.86University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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19.7University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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14.15California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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16.33University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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16.32University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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15.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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19.35University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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18.41University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 22.1% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.