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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+5.40vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.31+7.11vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.65+6.22vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+3.53vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+2.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+4.80vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95+0.47vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.36+0.45vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.39-0.40vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.32-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-5.01vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.19-2.24vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.13-6.43vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.77vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Jacksonville University-1.389.8%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont1.314.3%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College0.655.4%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University1.258.0%1st Place
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7.64North Carolina State University1.268.1%1st Place
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10.8Boston University0.373.2%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7612.3%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University0.956.6%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University1.186.7%1st Place
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10.45University of Wisconsin0.363.2%1st Place
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10.6University of Michigan0.393.4%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University1.327.6%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida1.447.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Miami0.192.6%1st Place
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8.57Fordham University1.135.9%1st Place
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13.23SUNY Maritime College-0.251.6%1st Place
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9.89Christopher Newport University0.654.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 33.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.