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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.31+8.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.32+5.56vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+4.79vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.19+7.65vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.25+8.25vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.39+4.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.44+1.37vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-1.64vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.26vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-2.00vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.25-3.85vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-2.16vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.50vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-5.53vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.13-6.13vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-5.61vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.65-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0University of Vermont1.315.3%1st Place
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7.56George Washington University1.327.4%1st Place
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7.79North Carolina State University1.267.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Miami0.192.8%1st Place
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13.25SUNY Maritime College-0.251.7%1st Place
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10.87University of Michigan0.393.7%1st Place
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8.37University of South Florida1.445.7%1st Place
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6.36Jacksonville University-1.3810.2%1st Place
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5.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7611.8%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.187.8%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University1.258.7%1st Place
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9.84Christopher Newport University0.654.3%1st Place
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10.5Boston University0.373.4%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University0.955.6%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University1.136.2%1st Place
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10.39University of Wisconsin0.363.5%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College0.654.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Gear | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.7% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 33.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.