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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.79+6.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+3.56vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+9.69vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36+5.09vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46+11.64vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.68-2.95vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.10+2.11vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+0.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine2.17+0.31vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.60+1.81vs Predicted
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13University of Texas1.17+3.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-4.30vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.52-0.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley2.12-4.63vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound1.23-1.54vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.02-1.48vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii3.04-11.92vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.42vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay1.69-8.31vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University1.87-10.28vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-10.25vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon-1.13-3.51vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis0.45-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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8.39University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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6.56Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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13.69California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.09Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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18.64University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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11.11University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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10.69California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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16.12University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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14.44Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.37University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
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16.52Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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18.58University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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13.69California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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12.72Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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22.49University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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18.82University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 23.6% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 12.3% | 67.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.