← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.79+7.29vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego1.60+12.04vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University4.19+0.56vs Predicted
-
4Santa Clara University2.36+6.49vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley2.12+6.23vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii3.68-0.89vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.44+11.80vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay1.69+5.49vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington2.10+2.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound1.23+5.56vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College3.24-4.38vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine2.17-0.87vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California2.64-3.91vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-4.36vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas1.17+1.09vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-1.21vs Predicted
-
17California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.51vs Predicted
-
18University of Oregon0.46+0.54vs Predicted
-
19Oregon State University1.52-4.68vs Predicted
-
20University of Hawaii3.04-12.88vs Predicted
-
21California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-10.53vs Predicted
-
23Western Washington University1.02-6.32vs Predicted
-
24Western Washington University1.87-11.49vs Predicted
-
26University of Oregon-1.13-3.56vs Predicted
-
27University of California at Davis0.45-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.29University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
-
14.04University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
3.56Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
-
10.49Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
-
11.23University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
-
5.11University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
-
18.8University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
13.49California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
-
15.56University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
-
6.62Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.13University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
-
9.09University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
-
9.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
-
16.09University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
-
14.79University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
-
13.49California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
18.54University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
14.32Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.12University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
10.47California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
-
16.68Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
12.51Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
-
22.44University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
-
18.83University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 22.7% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 66.2% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.