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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.65+8.08vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.95+6.35vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.19+7.58vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32+2.68vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.08vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.25+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.44+0.10vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.25+4.30vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.39+0.61vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-3.09vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.36-1.51vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-5.22vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-5.27vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-4.51vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-5.93vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.31-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Connecticut College0.656.0%1st Place
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8.35Old Dominion University0.955.9%1st Place
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6.45Jacksonville University-1.3810.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Miami0.193.3%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University1.327.3%1st Place
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5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7612.0%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University1.258.3%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida1.446.6%1st Place
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13.3SUNY Maritime College-0.252.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Michigan0.394.3%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University1.186.5%1st Place
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10.49University of Wisconsin0.363.0%1st Place
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7.78North Carolina State University1.267.0%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University1.134.5%1st Place
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10.49Boston University0.373.7%1st Place
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10.07Christopher Newport University0.654.7%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont1.315.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aili Moffet | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Emily Allen | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Marina Geilen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 34.7% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.