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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.25+6.20vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.44+6.29vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.96vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+3.60vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+4.87vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.31+3.16vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.39+3.78vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13+0.47vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26-1.40vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.19+0.62vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-2.65vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-6.65vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-5.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-4.50vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-5.47vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Roger Williams University1.258.8%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida1.445.9%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7610.4%1st Place
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7.6George Washington University1.327.1%1st Place
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9.87Christopher Newport University0.654.5%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont1.315.3%1st Place
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10.78University of Michigan0.393.3%1st Place
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8.47Fordham University1.136.0%1st Place
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7.6North Carolina State University1.267.3%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University0.957.2%1st Place
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11.62University of Miami0.193.0%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College0.655.1%1st Place
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6.35Jacksonville University-1.3810.2%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University1.187.6%1st Place
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10.5Boston University0.373.8%1st Place
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10.53University of Wisconsin0.363.1%1st Place
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13.33SUNY Maritime College-0.251.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Grace Gear | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Marina Geilen | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.