← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.46+9.29vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine2.17+9.75vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University4.19+0.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.64+5.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii3.68+0.08vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley2.12+6.02vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.83+6.36vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+7.55vs Predicted
-
9Oregon State University1.52+5.65vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay1.69+4.03vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii3.04-3.36vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College3.24-5.16vs Predicted
-
13University of Puget Sound1.23+3.53vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington2.79-5.51vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University2.36-4.07vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University2.20-4.50vs Predicted
-
17Western Washington University1.02+0.10vs Predicted
-
19University of Oregon0.46+0.44vs Predicted
-
20University of Texas1.17-3.88vs Predicted
-
21California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-9.98vs Predicted
-
23University of California at San Diego1.60-8.30vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Davis0.45-4.53vs Predicted
-
25University of Oregon0.76-6.76vs Predicted
-
26California State University Monterey Bay1.69-11.97vs Predicted
-
27University of Washington2.10-14.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
-
11.75University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
-
3.71Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
-
9.5University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
5.08University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
-
12.02University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
-
13.36University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
15.55University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
-
14.65Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
-
14.03California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.64University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
6.84Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
-
16.53University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
-
8.49University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
-
10.93Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
-
11.5Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
-
17.1Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
19.44University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
16.12University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.02California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
-
14.7University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
19.47University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
-
18.24University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
-
14.03California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
12.02University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Walsh | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 22.8% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 15.0% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.