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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+5.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.25+5.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.31+6.08vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.65+5.20vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.39+5.65vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65+3.83vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+0.82vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.32-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-0.94vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95-1.36vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13-2.35vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.19-1.19vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-8.09vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-7.19vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-5.71vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Jacksonville University-1.3810.8%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University1.258.7%1st Place
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9.08University of Vermont1.315.8%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College0.655.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Michigan0.393.4%1st Place
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9.83Christopher Newport University0.653.8%1st Place
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7.82North Carolina State University1.266.7%1st Place
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7.52George Washington University1.328.3%1st Place
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8.06University of South Florida1.447.2%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University0.955.3%1st Place
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8.65Fordham University1.135.1%1st Place
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10.61Boston University0.373.9%1st Place
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11.81University of Miami0.192.1%1st Place
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5.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7611.2%1st Place
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7.81Northeastern University1.186.8%1st Place
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10.29University of Wisconsin0.364.3%1st Place
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13.44SUNY Maritime College-0.251.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Grace Gear | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 14.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.