← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.31+8.09vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-1.38+4.36vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College0.65+6.10vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.39+6.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami0.19+6.71vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.13+2.71vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.25+0.19vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.11vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.26-1.25vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.36+0.54vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.32-3.33vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University0.95-3.54vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.44-4.79vs Predicted
-
14Boston University0.37-3.61vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.65-5.08vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.59vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.18-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.09University of Vermont1.315.0%1st Place
-
6.36Jacksonville University-1.3810.7%1st Place
-
9.1Connecticut College0.655.3%1st Place
-
10.53University of Michigan0.394.0%1st Place
-
11.71University of Miami0.192.5%1st Place
-
8.71Fordham University1.135.8%1st Place
-
7.19Roger Williams University1.258.6%1st Place
-
5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7612.4%1st Place
-
7.75North Carolina State University1.267.1%1st Place
-
10.54University of Wisconsin0.363.6%1st Place
-
7.67George Washington University1.327.0%1st Place
-
8.46Old Dominion University0.956.7%1st Place
-
8.21University of South Florida1.445.9%1st Place
-
10.39Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
-
9.92Christopher Newport University0.654.2%1st Place
-
13.41SUNY Maritime College-0.251.5%1st Place
-
8.06Northeastern University1.186.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Emily Allen | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 34.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.