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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.60+12.80vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+7.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+0.58vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.24+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.79+3.23vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound1.23+9.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.17+4.07vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.10+3.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.46+0.51vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University2.36-0.79vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.69+1.56vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.30vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.87-1.15vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.17+0.76vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.13+6.73vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley2.12-5.62vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.04-10.76vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University1.52-4.67vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University1.02-3.89vs Predicted
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21University of Hawaii3.68-16.11vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay1.69-9.44vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon0.46-5.12vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles0.44-6.25vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-11.32vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis0.45-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.8University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.66Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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15.64University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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10.21Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.56California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.7California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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12.85Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.76University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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22.73University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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14.33Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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16.11Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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13.56California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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18.88University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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18.75University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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18.77University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Olson | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 21.7% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.