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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+5.43vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.69+11.54vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.36+7.29vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.79+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64+3.79vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.52+8.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.12+4.41vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-4.33vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound1.23+4.74vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.10-1.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.60-0.35vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.17+1.03vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.87-3.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine2.17-6.96vs Predicted
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20University of Hawaii3.68-15.00vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University1.02-4.89vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon-1.13+0.56vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay1.69-9.46vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-9.13vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles0.44-6.22vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon0.46-7.41vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis0.45-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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13.54California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.29Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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14.38Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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3.67Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.98University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
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10.75California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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13.65University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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12.61Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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16.11Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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22.56University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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13.54California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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18.78University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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18.59University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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18.76University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 23.9% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 13.2% | 64.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.