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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+5.25vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.65+7.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+4.26vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+3.54vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.31+2.17vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.19+2.64vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.39-0.01vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.36-2.62vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-3.38vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-5.22vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-8.05vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Jacksonville University-1.3810.2%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College0.656.0%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University1.258.9%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University1.327.1%1st Place
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8.76Fordham University1.137.0%1st Place
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8.12University of South Florida1.446.6%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont1.314.8%1st Place
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5.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7611.8%1st Place
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11.64University of Miami0.192.8%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University0.955.2%1st Place
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10.99University of Michigan0.392.8%1st Place
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7.79North Carolina State University1.267.5%1st Place
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10.38University of Wisconsin0.363.5%1st Place
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10.62Boston University0.372.9%1st Place
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9.78Christopher Newport University0.654.2%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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13.25SUNY Maritime College-0.251.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.