Race 11A

women-atlantic-coast-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emma AuBuchon 7.1% 8.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 8.8% 7.1% 6.9% 8.2% 6.3% 6.4% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4%
Lucy Paskoff 3.7% 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 5.2% 5.3% 6.2% 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 11.5% 10.1% 8.1%
Emily Allen 10.2% 12.0% 10.0% 8.8% 9.2% 6.9% 8.3% 7.9% 7.1% 5.0% 4.9% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 8.4% 6.7% 7.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 8.7% 7.1% 6.1% 7.0% 6.5% 7.5% 5.0% 4.1% 3.0% 1.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.6% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 5.9% 6.6% 5.5% 5.2% 2.8% 2.4% 0.7%
Aili Moffet 5.2% 5.2% 5.3% 6.5% 6.2% 5.2% 6.6% 5.9% 5.5% 8.1% 7.4% 8.0% 7.3% 6.3% 6.5% 4.7%
Marina Geilen 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.5% 6.1% 6.5% 8.8% 10.7% 14.5% 16.0%
Sydney Monahan 7.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 7.0% 7.1% 6.7% 7.6% 7.2% 6.6% 5.9% 5.5% 4.8% 4.1% 2.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 6.8% 7.3% 6.6% 6.8% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.5% 6.8% 7.8% 7.1% 6.6% 6.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3%
Madison Bashaw 12.6% 12.2% 11.6% 11.0% 10.2% 7.0% 7.6% 6.0% 6.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Christiana Scheibner 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.3% 4.9% 6.1% 6.3% 5.5% 6.3% 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 9.4% 11.2% 8.5%
Rebecca Runyan 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.5% 2.8% 2.1% 3.4% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 7.4% 8.8% 14.0% 36.9%
Grace Watlington 4.9% 4.2% 4.8% 5.4% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 6.3% 6.6% 8.2% 6.5% 9.6% 8.8% 5.2%
Olivia Sowa 8.7% 8.3% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 5.1% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.5%
Elizabeth Cutler 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 7.2% 7.6% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 5.5% 5.7% 2.6%
Claire Considine 3.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 5.2% 7.2% 8.3% 8.9% 10.4% 9.6% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.