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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+6.00vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.79+5.38vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+5.80vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.54+5.46vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09+0.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22-0.02vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09-1.89vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.08+4.81vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.70-2.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-3.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-3.37vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.39vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-3.32vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.34-5.23vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.27-4.48vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-2.02-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0George Washington University0.938.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island0.797.6%1st Place
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8.8Jacksonville University0.485.0%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University0.544.2%1st Place
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5.94University of South Florida1.0910.1%1st Place
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5.98Northeastern University1.2210.9%1st Place
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5.11North Carolina State University1.0914.1%1st Place
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7.95Old Dominion University0.686.2%1st Place
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13.81University of Michigan-1.081.2%1st Place
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7.74University of Wisconsin0.707.5%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University0.626.6%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont0.485.3%1st Place
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9.61Christopher Newport University-0.843.6%1st Place
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10.68Boston University-0.053.4%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College0.343.7%1st Place
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11.52SUNY Maritime College-0.272.5%1st Place
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15.72University of Miami-2.020.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 31.4% | 20.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Laura Smith | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 3.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 5.2% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 14.9% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.